🔬 Building “The Ichneumon Array”: Weaponizing Wallet Surveillance

Plus: Why raw copy-trading fails without SoftMax calibration.

The Concept

In nature, the Ichneumon wasp doesn’t waste energy building its own nest; it hunts for a fat, well-fed host, paralyzes it, and lays its eggs directly into the nervous system. Alpha on the CLOB is no different. The whales do the agonizing work of modeling the outcome; your job is simply to feed off their conviction. But raw copy-trading is a meat grinder - if you just blind-ape market orders the second an alpha wallet moves, you’re paying the maximum premium on the spread. “The Ichneumon Array” doesn’t just copy. It intercepts the target’s on-chain footprint, uses Bayesian logic to update the base probability of the outcome, calibrates the perceived value via a SoftMax function, and sizes the strike using the Kelly Criterion. You aren’t playing the prediction market. You are playing the players.